Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a Moscow daytime maximum near 19°C on August 27, supported by a shift to northerly flow that limits warm advection while allowing moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover. Recent days featured cooler, moist westerly air with showers keeping highs around 17–19°C; the transition reduces precipitation chances and supports modest boundary-layer warming. Close market probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflect ensemble spread in exact cloud fraction, wind-driven mixing, and any brief convective activity that could cap peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 19–20°C, with uncertainty persisting until updated model runs closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のモスクワの最高気温は?
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
20°C 12%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
34%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
20°C 12%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
34%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a Moscow daytime maximum near 19°C on August 27, supported by a shift to northerly flow that limits warm advection while allowing moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover. Recent days featured cooler, moist westerly air with showers keeping highs around 17–19°C; the transition reduces precipitation chances and supports modest boundary-layer warming. Close market probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflect ensemble spread in exact cloud fraction, wind-driven mixing, and any brief convective activity that could cap peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 19–20°C, with uncertainty persisting until updated model runs closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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