Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の深センの最高気温は?
31°C 36%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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