**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s August 25 peak temperature clusters tightly around 31–32°C (combined ~64.5% implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread under typical wet-season conditions.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where August falls in the rainy season, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting frequent afternoon convection. Climatological daytime maxima average 29–30°C, but recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (~32°C/90°F), BBC Weather (31°C), and Weather.com (31°C/88°F with thunderstorms) indicate a slightly warmer setup driven by modest subsidence or delayed cloud build-up. High humidity (often >80%) keeps the heat index elevated, while variable steering winds and sea-breeze interactions influence how quickly cumulus develops into showers. The narrow 31–32°C spread arises from uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of thundershowers, which can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier convection favors the lower outcome, while brief clearing allows the higher one. No significant large-scale anomalies (e.g., El Niño/La Niña shifts or unusual moisture surges) appear in current guidance, so the market reflects routine model-to-model differences rather than a major pattern change. Updated runs from regional models and official briefings from Panama’s meteorological service will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
8月25日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
32°C 33%
31℃ 32%
33°C 15%
30℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
2%
29℃
6%
30℃
12%
31℃
32%
32°C
33%
33°C
15%
34℃
2%
35°C
1%
36°C以上
<1%
32°C 33%
31℃ 32%
33°C 15%
30℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
26℃以下
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28℃
$95 Vol.
2%
29℃
$63 Vol.
6%
30℃
$312 Vol.
12%
31℃
$583 Vol.
32%
32°C
$173 Vol.
33%
33°C
$186 Vol.
15%
34℃
$68 Vol.
2%
35°C
$67 Vol.
1%
36°C以上
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s August 25 peak temperature clusters tightly around 31–32°C (combined ~64.5% implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread under typical wet-season conditions.**
Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where August falls in the rainy season, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting frequent afternoon convection. Climatological daytime maxima average 29–30°C, but recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (~32°C/90°F), BBC Weather (31°C), and Weather.com (31°C/88°F with thunderstorms) indicate a slightly warmer setup driven by modest subsidence or delayed cloud build-up. High humidity (often >80%) keeps the heat index elevated, while variable steering winds and sea-breeze interactions influence how quickly cumulus develops into showers.
The narrow 31–32°C spread arises from uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of thundershowers, which can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier convection favors the lower outcome, while brief clearing allows the higher one. No significant large-scale anomalies (e.g., El Niño/La Niña shifts or unusual moisture surges) appear in current guidance, so the market reflects routine model-to-model differences rather than a major pattern change. Updated runs from regional models and official briefings from Panama’s meteorological service will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$1,965終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s August 25 peak temperature clusters tightly around 31–32°C (combined ~64.5% implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread under typical wet-season conditions.**
Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where August falls in the rainy season, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting frequent afternoon convection. Climatological daytime maxima average 29–30°C, but recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (~32°C/90°F), BBC Weather (31°C), and Weather.com (31°C/88°F with thunderstorms) indicate a slightly warmer setup driven by modest subsidence or delayed cloud build-up. High humidity (often >80%) keeps the heat index elevated, while variable steering winds and sea-breeze interactions influence how quickly cumulus develops into showers.
The narrow 31–32°C spread arises from uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of thundershowers, which can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier convection favors the lower outcome, while brief clearing allows the higher one. No significant large-scale anomalies (e.g., El Niño/La Niña shifts or unusual moisture surges) appear in current guidance, so the market reflects routine model-to-model differences rather than a major pattern change. Updated runs from regional models and official briefings from Panama’s meteorological service will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,965終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s August 25 peak temperature clusters tightly around 31–32°C (combined ~64.5% implied probability), reflecting ensemble model spread under typical wet-season conditions.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where August falls in the rainy season, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting frequent afternoon convection. Climatological daytime maxima average 29–30°C, but recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (~32°C/90°F), BBC Weather (31°C), and Weather.com (31°C/88°F with thunderstorms) indicate a slightly warmer setup driven by modest subsidence or delayed cloud build-up. High humidity (often >80%) keeps the heat index elevated, while variable steering winds and sea-breeze interactions influence how quickly cumulus develops into showers. The narrow 31–32°C spread arises from uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of thundershowers, which can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier convection favors the lower outcome, while brief clearing allows the higher one. No significant large-scale anomalies (e.g., El Niño/La Niña shifts or unusual moisture surges) appear in current guidance, so the market reflects routine model-to-model differences rather than a major pattern change. Updated runs from regional models and official briefings from Panama’s meteorological service will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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