Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のパナマシティの最低気温は?
20℃以下 74%
30°C以上 38%
26°C 22%
27°C 20%
20℃以下
74%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23℃
16%
24℃
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28℃
17%
29°C
14%
30°C以上
38%
20℃以下 74%
30°C以上 38%
26°C 22%
27°C 20%
20℃以下
74%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23℃
16%
24℃
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28℃
17%
29°C
14%
30°C以上
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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