Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 31°C on August 26 amid a moist southerly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating. High relative humidity (75–95%) and cloud cover promote evaporative cooling and reduce the potential for brief clear intervals that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30–31°C, with modest upside risk if convection weakens earlier than expected. Historical August climatology centers near 31°C, so traders are weighing the balance between persistent rainfall suppressing peaks and any steering-pattern shifts allowing slightly warmer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の香港の最高気温は?
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 31°C on August 26 amid a moist southerly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating. High relative humidity (75–95%) and cloud cover promote evaporative cooling and reduce the potential for brief clear intervals that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30–31°C, with modest upside risk if convection weakens earlier than expected. Historical August climatology centers near 31°C, so traders are weighing the balance between persistent rainfall suppressing peaks and any steering-pattern shifts allowing slightly warmer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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