Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
28°C 23%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 23%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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