**Persistent Southwest Monsoon activity is the dominant factor capping Manila's highest temperature on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts pointing to a daytime peak near 29°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and strong southwesterly winds.** PAGASA notes the monsoon will bring cloudy skies and rain across Metro Manila, while multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) show highs of 28–29°C (83–84°F) with minimal breaks in overcast conditions that reduce solar heating. High humidity (near 80–90%) and expected rainfall further suppress maxima relative to clearer August climatology. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with today's peak at 32.7°C giving way to cooler, wetter conditions. Traders appear to price the highest probability on 29°C, followed by 30°C, reflecting the narrow range of model consensus ahead of final observational data from PAGASA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のマニラの最高気温は?
29°C 38%
30℃ 29%
28℃ 19%
31℃ 12%
23℃以下
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
3%
27°C
7%
28℃
19%
29°C
38%
30℃
29%
31℃
12%
32°C
5%
33°C以上
2%
29°C 38%
30℃ 29%
28℃ 19%
31℃ 12%
23℃以下
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
3%
27°C
7%
28℃
19%
29°C
38%
30℃
29%
31℃
12%
32°C
5%
33°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent Southwest Monsoon activity is the dominant factor capping Manila's highest temperature on August 28, 2026, with official forecasts pointing to a daytime peak near 29°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and strong southwesterly winds.** PAGASA notes the monsoon will bring cloudy skies and rain across Metro Manila, while multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) show highs of 28–29°C (83–84°F) with minimal breaks in overcast conditions that reduce solar heating. High humidity (near 80–90%) and expected rainfall further suppress maxima relative to clearer August climatology. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with today's peak at 32.7°C giving way to cooler, wetter conditions. Traders appear to price the highest probability on 29°C, followed by 30°C, reflecting the narrow range of model consensus ahead of final observational data from PAGASA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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