Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–7 km/h, and high pressure around 1018–1021 hPa, which limits strong diurnal heating compared with earlier August peaks. Low humidity and zero precipitation risk support modest warming during afternoon hours, while recent cooler nights and a seasonal shift toward autumnal patterns keep extremes unlikely. Trader positioning favoring 26–27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations and any last-minute model shifts before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のマドリードの最高気温は?
27°C 44%
26°C 39%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
$14,828 Vol.
$14,828 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 39%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
$14,828 Vol.
$14,828 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–7 km/h, and high pressure around 1018–1021 hPa, which limits strong diurnal heating compared with earlier August peaks. Low humidity and zero precipitation risk support modest warming during afternoon hours, while recent cooler nights and a seasonal shift toward autumnal patterns keep extremes unlikely. Trader positioning favoring 26–27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations and any last-minute model shifts before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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