Recent forecasts from multiple models show Beijing rebounding to a daily high near 31°C on August 29 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 27th–28th, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–31°C. Clearing skies, light variable winds, and strong August solar insolation under high pressure favor rapid daytime warming, consistent with the month’s climatological average high near 30°C and recent observations of 30–33°C on similar post-frontal days. Model spread in exact peak temperature, driven by minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central outcomes while limiting odds on extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の北京の最高気温は？
8月29日の北京の最高気温は？
31°C 30%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 30%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$16 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Beijing rebounding to a daily high near 31°C on August 29 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 27th–28th, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–31°C. Clearing skies, light variable winds, and strong August solar insolation under high pressure favor rapid daytime warming, consistent with the month’s climatological average high near 30°C and recent observations of 30–33°C on similar post-frontal days. Model spread in exact peak temperature, driven by minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central outcomes while limiting odds on extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$16終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Beijing rebounding to a daily high near 31°C on August 29 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 27th–28th, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–31°C. Clearing skies, light variable winds, and strong August solar insolation under high pressure favor rapid daytime warming, consistent with the month’s climatological average high near 30°C and recent observations of 30–33°C on similar post-frontal days. Model spread in exact peak temperature, driven by minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central outcomes while limiting odds on extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models show Beijing rebounding to a daily high near 31°C on August 29 after cooler, rainy conditions on the 27th–28th, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–31°C. Clearing skies, light variable winds, and strong August solar insolation under high pressure favor rapid daytime warming, consistent with the month’s climatological average high near 30°C and recent observations of 30–33°C on similar post-frontal days. Model spread in exact peak temperature, driven by minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central outcomes while limiting odds on extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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