Recent model consensus points to a cool, overcast day in Cape Town on August 29 driven by persistent southerly flow and possible light rain or drizzle, which will limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Official guidance from sources including the South African Weather Service and global models shows daytime peaks clustering in the 16–19°C range amid high humidity, moderate to fresh southerly winds, and extensive low cloud, with marine air moderating temperatures near the coast. This produces closely matched market-implied odds around 17–18°C because small differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, or wind gusts can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C; historical August maxima average near 18°C but recent cooler anomalies and forecast spread keep lower outcomes competitive until final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
18℃ 29%
17℃ 28%
19°C 19%
16℃ 14%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16℃
14%
17℃
28%
18℃
29%
19°C
19%
20℃
3%
21°C
2%
22°C以上
<1%
18℃ 29%
17℃ 28%
19°C 19%
16℃ 14%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16℃
14%
17℃
28%
18℃
29%
19°C
19%
20℃
3%
21°C
2%
22°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus points to a cool, overcast day in Cape Town on August 29 driven by persistent southerly flow and possible light rain or drizzle, which will limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Official guidance from sources including the South African Weather Service and global models shows daytime peaks clustering in the 16–19°C range amid high humidity, moderate to fresh southerly winds, and extensive low cloud, with marine air moderating temperatures near the coast. This produces closely matched market-implied odds around 17–18°C because small differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, or wind gusts can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C; historical August maxima average near 18°C but recent cooler anomalies and forecast spread keep lower outcomes competitive until final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問