Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 30 show highs clustering near 31–33°C as skies clear after several days of rain and cloud cover that suppressed temperatures to the upper 20s°C. Trader consensus around 32–34°C reflects model spread in insolation, humidity levels near 60–70%, and light variable winds typical of the Sichuan Basin, where topography can trap moisture and moderate peak heating. Late-August climatology favors these moderate values rather than extremes above 35°C, though any faster dissipation of residual cloud could push readings toward the higher end of the range before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の成都の最高気温は?
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 30 show highs clustering near 31–33°C as skies clear after several days of rain and cloud cover that suppressed temperatures to the upper 20s°C. Trader consensus around 32–34°C reflects model spread in insolation, humidity levels near 60–70%, and light variable winds typical of the Sichuan Basin, where topography can trap moisture and moderate peak heating. Late-August climatology favors these moderate values rather than extremes above 35°C, though any faster dissipation of residual cloud could push readings toward the higher end of the range before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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