**Strong market consensus on 15°C as Wellington’s daily high stems from official MetService and international model runs showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under northerly winds on August 29.** Current observations and short-range forecasts indicate afternoon maxima of 13–15°C with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest flow, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs average near 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at the Wellington airport station, where even minor model shifts or localized warming could alter the exact outcome. Traders assign near-certainty because forecast guidance has remained stable, though real-time measurement variability or rapid frontal changes remain the primary realistic challenges to this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月29日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,913 Vol.
$68,913 Vol.
2026/08/29
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,913 Vol.
$68,913 Vol.
2026/08/29
9°C or below
$900 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$23,107 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,375 Vol.
100%
16°C
$10,718 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,335 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,530 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on 15°C as Wellington’s daily high stems from official MetService and international model runs showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under northerly winds on August 29.** Current observations and short-range forecasts indicate afternoon maxima of 13–15°C with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest flow, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs average near 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at the Wellington airport station, where even minor model shifts or localized warming could alter the exact outcome. Traders assign near-certainty because forecast guidance has remained stable, though real-time measurement variability or rapid frontal changes remain the primary realistic challenges to this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$68,913終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on 15°C as Wellington’s daily high stems from official MetService and international model runs showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under northerly winds on August 29.** Current observations and short-range forecasts indicate afternoon maxima of 13–15°C with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest flow, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs average near 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at the Wellington airport station, where even minor model shifts or localized warming could alter the exact outcome. Traders assign near-certainty because forecast guidance has remained stable, though real-time measurement variability or rapid frontal changes remain the primary realistic challenges to this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$68,913終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Strong market consensus on 15°C as Wellington’s daily high stems from official MetService and international model runs showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under northerly winds on August 29.** Current observations and short-range forecasts indicate afternoon maxima of 13–15°C with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest flow, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs average near 14°C. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at the Wellington airport station, where even minor model shifts or localized warming could alter the exact outcome. Traders assign near-certainty because forecast guidance has remained stable, though real-time measurement variability or rapid frontal changes remain the primary realistic challenges to this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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