Official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 around 9–11°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Persistent winds of 20–30 km/h from the northwest have maintained a warmer boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops typical in calm winter conditions. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C at Wellington Airport, but the current synoptic pattern—featuring a stable high-pressure influence and above-normal temperatures—supports the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C (62% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and official minimum reports at 9 a.m. local time will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月29日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
10°C 91%
9°C 2%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
91%
11°C
55%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 91%
9°C 2%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
6°C or below
$316 Vol.
1%
7°C
$217 Vol.
1%
8°C
$208 Vol.
1%
9°C
$220 Vol.
2%
10°C
$93 Vol.
91%
11°C
$416 Vol.
55%
12°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 around 9–11°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Persistent winds of 20–30 km/h from the northwest have maintained a warmer boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops typical in calm winter conditions. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C at Wellington Airport, but the current synoptic pattern—featuring a stable high-pressure influence and above-normal temperatures—supports the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C (62% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and official minimum reports at 9 a.m. local time will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,899終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 around 9–11°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Persistent winds of 20–30 km/h from the northwest have maintained a warmer boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops typical in calm winter conditions. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C at Wellington Airport, but the current synoptic pattern—featuring a stable high-pressure influence and above-normal temperatures—supports the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C (62% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and official minimum reports at 9 a.m. local time will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,899終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 around 9–11°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Persistent winds of 20–30 km/h from the northwest have maintained a warmer boundary layer, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops typical in calm winter conditions. Historical August lows average near 8–10°C at Wellington Airport, but the current synoptic pattern—featuring a stable high-pressure influence and above-normal temperatures—supports the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C (62% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and official minimum reports at 9 a.m. local time will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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