Recent forecasts for Wuhan show incoming rainfall and increased cloud cover from peripheral typhoon flows moderating peak temperatures on August 31, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–33°C. Official guidance indicates 30–34°C highs with 40–60% precipitation chances, where convective activity and northeasterly winds limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Model runs vary on exact timing and intensity of showers, creating genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum that aligns with the balanced probabilities. Updated numerical weather predictions and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の武漢の最高気温は?
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 21%
29°C 19%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C
21%
32°C
25%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 21%
29°C 19%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C
21%
32°C
25%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan show incoming rainfall and increased cloud cover from peripheral typhoon flows moderating peak temperatures on August 31, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–33°C. Official guidance indicates 30–34°C highs with 40–60% precipitation chances, where convective activity and northeasterly winds limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Model runs vary on exact timing and intensity of showers, creating genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum that aligns with the balanced probabilities. Updated numerical weather predictions and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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