Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on August 31 most likely between 29–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate to strong westerly winds across Luzon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling from frequent rainfall, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on the timing and intensity of convection: heavier or more persistent monsoon rains favor the 29–30°C band by limiting afternoon heating, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow peaks near 32°C. High humidity levels near 80–90% further moderate perceived extremes, consistent with typical wet-season dynamics in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のマニラの最高気温は?
31℃ 32%
30°C 31%
32℃ 28%
33°C 11%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
1%
28°C
6%
29℃
11%
30°C
30%
31℃
27%
32℃
19%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 32%
30°C 31%
32℃ 28%
33°C 11%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
1%
28°C
6%
29℃
11%
30°C
30%
31℃
27%
32℃
19%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on August 31 most likely between 29–32°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate to strong westerly winds across Luzon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling from frequent rainfall, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on the timing and intensity of convection: heavier or more persistent monsoon rains favor the 29–30°C band by limiting afternoon heating, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow peaks near 32°C. High humidity levels near 80–90% further moderate perceived extremes, consistent with typical wet-season dynamics in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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