Recent northwesterly flow across New Zealand has delivered above-average late-winter temperatures to Wellington, with recent daily maxima reaching 16–17 °C. Official guidance from MetService and multiple numerical models points to continued mild advection on 30 August under mostly clear skies and gusty NW winds, supporting a peak near 15–16 °C. Strong winds and a marine influence limit further warming despite the favorable setup, while climatological baselines for late August hover around 14 °C. Traders have priced the 17 °C outcome highest at 55.5 % implied probability because ensemble runs show a modest upside bias if daytime heating exceeds current guidance, yet the tight clustering of 16 °C and 18 °C contracts reflects the narrow forecast range and limited upside potential before cooler southwesterlies arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月30日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
17°C 56%
16°C 18%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
新規
$18,506 Vol.
新規
$18,506 Vol.
2026/08/30
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
56%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 56%
16°C 18%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
新規
$18,506 Vol.
新規
$18,506 Vol.
2026/08/30
11°C or below
$687 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,226 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,005 Vol.
3%
16°C
$6,190 Vol.
18%
17°C
$2,584 Vol.
56%
18°C
$2,177 Vol.
18%
19°C
$764 Vol.
2%
20°C
$892 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$786 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly flow across New Zealand has delivered above-average late-winter temperatures to Wellington, with recent daily maxima reaching 16–17 °C. Official guidance from MetService and multiple numerical models points to continued mild advection on 30 August under mostly clear skies and gusty NW winds, supporting a peak near 15–16 °C. Strong winds and a marine influence limit further warming despite the favorable setup, while climatological baselines for late August hover around 14 °C. Traders have priced the 17 °C outcome highest at 55.5 % implied probability because ensemble runs show a modest upside bias if daytime heating exceeds current guidance, yet the tight clustering of 16 °C and 18 °C contracts reflects the narrow forecast range and limited upside potential before cooler southwesterlies arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$18,506終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly flow across New Zealand has delivered above-average late-winter temperatures to Wellington, with recent daily maxima reaching 16–17 °C. Official guidance from MetService and multiple numerical models points to continued mild advection on 30 August under mostly clear skies and gusty NW winds, supporting a peak near 15–16 °C. Strong winds and a marine influence limit further warming despite the favorable setup, while climatological baselines for late August hover around 14 °C. Traders have priced the 17 °C outcome highest at 55.5 % implied probability because ensemble runs show a modest upside bias if daytime heating exceeds current guidance, yet the tight clustering of 16 °C and 18 °C contracts reflects the narrow forecast range and limited upside potential before cooler southwesterlies arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,506終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent northwesterly flow across New Zealand has delivered above-average late-winter temperatures to Wellington, with recent daily maxima reaching 16–17 °C. Official guidance from MetService and multiple numerical models points to continued mild advection on 30 August under mostly clear skies and gusty NW winds, supporting a peak near 15–16 °C. Strong winds and a marine influence limit further warming despite the favorable setup, while climatological baselines for late August hover around 14 °C. Traders have priced the 17 °C outcome highest at 55.5 % implied probability because ensemble runs show a modest upside bias if daytime heating exceeds current guidance, yet the tight clustering of 16 °C and 18 °C contracts reflects the narrow forecast range and limited upside potential before cooler southwesterlies arrive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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