Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, thunderstorms, and only brief afternoon sunshine on August 29. Latest station readings show maxima near 32–33 °C at the Observatory and several urban sites, with heat-index values elevated by humidity above 70 % but limited by persistent cloud cover and light-to-moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns closely with climatological August averages and recent model consensus, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability for a daily high of 32 °C. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that suppresses showers could allow additional surface heating and push readings higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such an outcome unlikely before the close of the observing period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の香港の最高気温は?
32°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$110,225 Vol.
$110,225 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$110,225 Vol.
$110,225 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, thunderstorms, and only brief afternoon sunshine on August 29. Latest station readings show maxima near 32–33 °C at the Observatory and several urban sites, with heat-index values elevated by humidity above 70 % but limited by persistent cloud cover and light-to-moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns closely with climatological August averages and recent model consensus, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability for a daily high of 32 °C. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that suppresses showers could allow additional surface heating and push readings higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such an outcome unlikely before the close of the observing period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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