Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 30°C high on August 31 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving showers, thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. Recent model consensus shows highs clustered near 29–31°C, with 30°C emerging as the consensus peak under east-northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and 75–95% humidity. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered convection differentiate the narrow spread, as heavier rain episodes could cap temperatures at 29°C while clearer breaks allow brief rises to 31°C. Late-August climatology supports this range, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の香港の最高気温は?
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 30°C high on August 31 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving showers, thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. Recent model consensus shows highs clustered near 29–31°C, with 30°C emerging as the consensus peak under east-northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and 75–95% humidity. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered convection differentiate the narrow spread, as heavier rain episodes could cap temperatures at 29°C while clearer breaks allow brief rises to 31°C. Late-August climatology supports this range, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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