Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Seattle's August 31 high will likely fall in the mid-70s under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, following morning marine influence and partial clearing. Official guidance from NWS Seattle projects upper 60s to mid-70s, with some model runs reaching 75–77°F amid reduced cloud cover and offshore flow. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread, driven by typical late-August variability in the marine layer depth and Puget Sound thermal moderation that often caps peaks near 72–76°F. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS forecast discussion and afternoon model runs, which could shift implied probabilities if afternoon insolation or wind patterns deviate. Historical late-summer highs average near 75°F, underscoring the modest upside risk currently priced.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のシアトルの最高気温は?
74〜75°F 36%
76〜77°F 28%
72~73°F 24%
70~71°F 9%
華氏63度以下
<1%
64~65°F
1%
66~67°F
4%
68〜69°F
7%
70~71°F
9%
72~73°F
24%
74〜75°F
31%
76〜77°F
28%
78~79°F
5%
80〜81°F
<1%
82°F以上
<1%
74〜75°F 36%
76〜77°F 28%
72~73°F 24%
70~71°F 9%
華氏63度以下
<1%
64~65°F
1%
66~67°F
4%
68〜69°F
7%
70~71°F
9%
72~73°F
24%
74〜75°F
31%
76〜77°F
28%
78~79°F
5%
80〜81°F
<1%
82°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Seattle's August 31 high will likely fall in the mid-70s under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, following morning marine influence and partial clearing. Official guidance from NWS Seattle projects upper 60s to mid-70s, with some model runs reaching 75–77°F amid reduced cloud cover and offshore flow. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread, driven by typical late-August variability in the marine layer depth and Puget Sound thermal moderation that often caps peaks near 72–76°F. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS forecast discussion and afternoon model runs, which could shift implied probabilities if afternoon insolation or wind patterns deviate. Historical late-summer highs average near 75°F, underscoring the modest upside risk currently priced.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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