Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies project a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 29 near 34–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. This range aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 36°C (42% implied probability) and 35°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest suppression from humidity and brief showers rather than widespread cooling. Seasonal norms hover near 33°C, and current steering patterns favor warmer air advection without strong frontal systems. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some runs reaching 37°C if convection remains localized; updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers later today could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の広州の最高気温は？
8月29日の広州の最高気温は？
36°C 42%
37℃ 27%
35℃ 18%
34°C 10%
新規
$10,956 Vol.
新規
$10,956 Vol.
2026/08/29
31°C以下
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34°C
10%
35℃
18%
36°C
42%
37℃
27%
38℃
7%
39°C
1%
40℃
<1%
41℃以上
<1%
36°C 42%
37℃ 27%
35℃ 18%
34°C 10%
新規
$10,956 Vol.
新規
$10,956 Vol.
2026/08/29
31°C以下
$844 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$1,168 Vol.
1%
33℃
$1,486 Vol.
1%
34°C
$709 Vol.
10%
35℃
$1,357 Vol.
18%
36°C
$771 Vol.
42%
37℃
$1,501 Vol.
27%
38℃
$1,850 Vol.
7%
39°C
$728 Vol.
1%
40℃
$285 Vol.
<1%
41℃以上
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies project a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 29 near 34–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. This range aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 36°C (42% implied probability) and 35°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest suppression from humidity and brief showers rather than widespread cooling. Seasonal norms hover near 33°C, and current steering patterns favor warmer air advection without strong frontal systems. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some runs reaching 37°C if convection remains localized; updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers later today could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$10,956終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies project a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 29 near 34–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. This range aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 36°C (42% implied probability) and 35°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest suppression from humidity and brief showers rather than widespread cooling. Seasonal norms hover near 33°C, and current steering patterns favor warmer air advection without strong frontal systems. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some runs reaching 37°C if convection remains localized; updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers later today could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,956終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies project a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 29 near 34–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. This range aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 36°C (42% implied probability) and 35°C (19.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest suppression from humidity and brief showers rather than widespread cooling. Seasonal norms hover near 33°C, and current steering patterns favor warmer air advection without strong frontal systems. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some runs reaching 37°C if convection remains localized; updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers later today could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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