**Persistent rain and thunderstorms expected across Chengdu on August 28 are the dominant driver capping daytime highs, with official and model guidance converging on a 31–32 °C maximum.** Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while weak steering winds and high boundary-layer humidity limit afternoon temperature recovery. Recent model runs show only modest spread in rainfall timing and intensity; drier or delayed convection scenarios could allow brief clearing and push peaks to 33–34 °C, which explains the market’s slight tilt toward those outcomes. Stronger or earlier storms would keep readings near or below 31 °C. Updated CMA forecasts and next 12–24 h model guidance will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の成都の最高気温は？
8月28日の成都の最高気温は？
34°C 22%
33°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C or higher 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
18%
34°C 22%
33°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C or higher 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
25°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$31 Vol.
3%
28°C
$32 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$20 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
22%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and thunderstorms expected across Chengdu on August 28 are the dominant driver capping daytime highs, with official and model guidance converging on a 31–32 °C maximum.** Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while weak steering winds and high boundary-layer humidity limit afternoon temperature recovery. Recent model runs show only modest spread in rainfall timing and intensity; drier or delayed convection scenarios could allow brief clearing and push peaks to 33–34 °C, which explains the market’s slight tilt toward those outcomes. Stronger or earlier storms would keep readings near or below 31 °C. Updated CMA forecasts and next 12–24 h model guidance will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$105終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and thunderstorms expected across Chengdu on August 28 are the dominant driver capping daytime highs, with official and model guidance converging on a 31–32 °C maximum.** Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while weak steering winds and high boundary-layer humidity limit afternoon temperature recovery. Recent model runs show only modest spread in rainfall timing and intensity; drier or delayed convection scenarios could allow brief clearing and push peaks to 33–34 °C, which explains the market’s slight tilt toward those outcomes. Stronger or earlier storms would keep readings near or below 31 °C. Updated CMA forecasts and next 12–24 h model guidance will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$105終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Persistent rain and thunderstorms expected across Chengdu on August 28 are the dominant driver capping daytime highs, with official and model guidance converging on a 31–32 °C maximum.** Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while weak steering winds and high boundary-layer humidity limit afternoon temperature recovery. Recent model runs show only modest spread in rainfall timing and intensity; drier or delayed convection scenarios could allow brief clearing and push peaks to 33–34 °C, which explains the market’s slight tilt toward those outcomes. Stronger or earlier storms would keep readings near or below 31 °C. Updated CMA forecasts and next 12–24 h model guidance will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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