**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, show a tight range of expected daily maximum temperatures centered near 20–23 °C, with notable spread across sources driving the near-even market odds around 21–22 °C.** Late-winter conditions in the region feature the cooling influence of the Benguela Current, variable wind shifts between northwesterly (potentially warmer) and southwesterly/southeasterly flows, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that can suppress peak heating. Official and ensemble guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) currently cluster in the low-20s °C range, with some runs peaking near 25–26 °C under clearer skies and others capping at 18–20 °C amid stronger onshore flow. This genuine uncertainty—typical for short-range forecasts near seasonal transitions—explains why no single outcome dominates and why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent thresholds. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月28日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
22°C 21%
21°C 21%
20°C 14%
23℃ 14%
新規
$16,492 Vol.
新規
$16,492 Vol.
2026/08/28
15°C以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
1%
18°C
4%
19℃
13%
20°C
14%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23℃
14%
24°C
11%
25°C以上
6%
22°C 21%
21°C 21%
20°C 14%
23℃ 14%
新規
$16,492 Vol.
新規
$16,492 Vol.
2026/08/28
15°C以下
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$40 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$26 Vol.
1%
18°C
$599 Vol.
4%
19℃
$536 Vol.
13%
20°C
$1,005 Vol.
14%
21°C
$8,310 Vol.
21%
22°C
$1,017 Vol.
21%
23℃
$1,730 Vol.
14%
24°C
$924 Vol.
11%
25°C以上
$1,013 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, show a tight range of expected daily maximum temperatures centered near 20–23 °C, with notable spread across sources driving the near-even market odds around 21–22 °C.**
Late-winter conditions in the region feature the cooling influence of the Benguela Current, variable wind shifts between northwesterly (potentially warmer) and southwesterly/southeasterly flows, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that can suppress peak heating. Official and ensemble guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) currently cluster in the low-20s °C range, with some runs peaking near 25–26 °C under clearer skies and others capping at 18–20 °C amid stronger onshore flow.
This genuine uncertainty—typical for short-range forecasts near seasonal transitions—explains why no single outcome dominates and why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent thresholds. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$16,492終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, show a tight range of expected daily maximum temperatures centered near 20–23 °C, with notable spread across sources driving the near-even market odds around 21–22 °C.**
Late-winter conditions in the region feature the cooling influence of the Benguela Current, variable wind shifts between northwesterly (potentially warmer) and southwesterly/southeasterly flows, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that can suppress peak heating. Official and ensemble guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) currently cluster in the low-20s °C range, with some runs peaking near 25–26 °C under clearer skies and others capping at 18–20 °C amid stronger onshore flow.
This genuine uncertainty—typical for short-range forecasts near seasonal transitions—explains why no single outcome dominates and why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent thresholds. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16,492終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, show a tight range of expected daily maximum temperatures centered near 20–23 °C, with notable spread across sources driving the near-even market odds around 21–22 °C.** Late-winter conditions in the region feature the cooling influence of the Benguela Current, variable wind shifts between northwesterly (potentially warmer) and southwesterly/southeasterly flows, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that can suppress peak heating. Official and ensemble guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) currently cluster in the low-20s °C range, with some runs peaking near 25–26 °C under clearer skies and others capping at 18–20 °C amid stronger onshore flow. This genuine uncertainty—typical for short-range forecasts near seasonal transitions—explains why no single outcome dominates and why traders assign comparable implied probabilities to adjacent thresholds. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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