**Forecast consensus for Istanbul on August 29 centers on modest daytime heating under northerly flow and variable cloud cover, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate temperatures rising from overnight lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks of 24–26°C, with northeast winds of 15–25 km/h and intermittent clouds reducing insolation. This follows a cooler pattern after earlier August highs near 30°C, as a shift to more stable northerly air masses and possible light showers or scattered cloud layers suppress further warming. Ensemble spread in global and regional models produces the narrow market split, with resolution hinging on whether peak readings at official stations reach or exceed 25°C amid localized variability across the urban area. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
24°C 44%
25°C 40%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
44%
25°C
40%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 40%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
44%
25°C
40%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Istanbul on August 29 centers on modest daytime heating under northerly flow and variable cloud cover, keeping the maximum temperature tightly contested between 24°C and 25°C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate temperatures rising from overnight lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks of 24–26°C, with northeast winds of 15–25 km/h and intermittent clouds reducing insolation. This follows a cooler pattern after earlier August highs near 30°C, as a shift to more stable northerly air masses and possible light showers or scattered cloud layers suppress further warming. Ensemble spread in global and regional models produces the narrow market split, with resolution hinging on whether peak readings at official stations reach or exceed 25°C amid localized variability across the urban area. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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