**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional meteorology point to a high of 24–26°C in Istanbul on August 28, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea region that replaces the prior warm southerly pattern.** This shift brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–55% chance in many runs), and stronger northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit daytime heating. Historical late-August baselines hover near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup—supported by consistent GFS and local model outputs—supports a 3–5°C drop, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 24°C (51.5%) and adjacent values while assigning low odds to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月28日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
24°C 52%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
52%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
19°C or below
$527 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$329 Vol.
4%
23°C
$1,669 Vol.
29%
24°C
$875 Vol.
52%
25°C
$1,288 Vol.
17%
26°C
$290 Vol.
3%
27°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$449 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional meteorology point to a high of 24–26°C in Istanbul on August 28, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea region that replaces the prior warm southerly pattern.**
This shift brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–55% chance in many runs), and stronger northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit daytime heating. Historical late-August baselines hover near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup—supported by consistent GFS and local model outputs—supports a 3–5°C drop, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 24°C (51.5%) and adjacent values while assigning low odds to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$6,684終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional meteorology point to a high of 24–26°C in Istanbul on August 28, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea region that replaces the prior warm southerly pattern.**
This shift brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–55% chance in many runs), and stronger northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit daytime heating. Historical late-August baselines hover near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup—supported by consistent GFS and local model outputs—supports a 3–5°C drop, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 24°C (51.5%) and adjacent values while assigning low odds to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,684終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional meteorology point to a high of 24–26°C in Istanbul on August 28, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea region that replaces the prior warm southerly pattern.** This shift brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–55% chance in many runs), and stronger northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit daytime heating. Historical late-August baselines hover near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup—supported by consistent GFS and local model outputs—supports a 3–5°C drop, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 24°C (51.5%) and adjacent values while assigning low odds to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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