**Traders are closely split between 13°C and 14°C highs for Wellington on August 27 because short-range forecast models show maximum temperatures hovering near the seasonal average under variable late-winter conditions.** Official guidance from MetService and international sources points to daytime peaks of roughly 13–14 °C (55–58 °F) amid overcast skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate northwesterly or southerly flows. Northwesterlies can briefly lift readings by advecting milder air, while increased cloud cover or a southerly shift suppresses the peak by 1 °C through reduced insolation and cooler advection. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures as the most probable outcome, with limited model spread and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. This tight clustering of forecasts, combined with inherent uncertainty in wind direction and cloud timing, explains the balanced market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月27日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 13%
12°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
37%
14°C
45%
15°C
13%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 13%
12°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
8°C or below
$281 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$225 Vol.
1%
11°C
$52 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
6%
13°C
$79 Vol.
37%
14°C
$151 Vol.
45%
15°C
$208 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are closely split between 13°C and 14°C highs for Wellington on August 27 because short-range forecast models show maximum temperatures hovering near the seasonal average under variable late-winter conditions.** Official guidance from MetService and international sources points to daytime peaks of roughly 13–14 °C (55–58 °F) amid overcast skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate northwesterly or southerly flows. Northwesterlies can briefly lift readings by advecting milder air, while increased cloud cover or a southerly shift suppresses the peak by 1 °C through reduced insolation and cooler advection. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures as the most probable outcome, with limited model spread and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. This tight clustering of forecasts, combined with inherent uncertainty in wind direction and cloud timing, explains the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,304終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are closely split between 13°C and 14°C highs for Wellington on August 27 because short-range forecast models show maximum temperatures hovering near the seasonal average under variable late-winter conditions.** Official guidance from MetService and international sources points to daytime peaks of roughly 13–14 °C (55–58 °F) amid overcast skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate northwesterly or southerly flows. Northwesterlies can briefly lift readings by advecting milder air, while increased cloud cover or a southerly shift suppresses the peak by 1 °C through reduced insolation and cooler advection. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures as the most probable outcome, with limited model spread and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. This tight clustering of forecasts, combined with inherent uncertainty in wind direction and cloud timing, explains the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,304終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Traders are closely split between 13°C and 14°C highs for Wellington on August 27 because short-range forecast models show maximum temperatures hovering near the seasonal average under variable late-winter conditions.** Official guidance from MetService and international sources points to daytime peaks of roughly 13–14 °C (55–58 °F) amid overcast skies, possible early sprinkles, and moderate northwesterly or southerly flows. Northwesterlies can briefly lift readings by advecting milder air, while increased cloud cover or a southerly shift suppresses the peak by 1 °C through reduced insolation and cooler advection. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average temperatures as the most probable outcome, with limited model spread and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. This tight clustering of forecasts, combined with inherent uncertainty in wind direction and cloud timing, explains the balanced market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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