Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16°C 64%
15°C 27%
17°C 11%
14°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
27%
16°C
64%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 27%
17°C 11%
14°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
10°C or below
$257 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$455 Vol.
3%
15°C
$620 Vol.
27%
16°C
$2,366 Vol.
64%
17°C
$852 Vol.
11%
18°C
$352 Vol.
2%
19°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$6,119終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,119終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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