Official forecasts from MetService and other agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 9–10°C under a pattern of early fine conditions giving way to increasing cloud and showers. Overnight lows hinge on radiative cooling rates, which strengthen under clear skies but weaken with cloud cover or wind-driven mixing from northerly flows. Ensemble model spreads create the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or wind strength can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 8–9°C provide context, while current seasonal outlooks favor near-average conditions without strong anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のウェリントンの最低気温は?
9°C 49%
12°C 29%
11°C 27%
14℃ 26%
8℃以下
1%
9°C
49%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
29%
13°C
25%
14℃
26%
15℃
4%
16°C
<1%
17℃
4%
18°C以上
<1%
9°C 49%
12°C 29%
11°C 27%
14℃ 26%
8℃以下
1%
9°C
49%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
29%
13°C
25%
14℃
26%
15℃
4%
16°C
<1%
17℃
4%
18°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from MetService and other agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 9–10°C under a pattern of early fine conditions giving way to increasing cloud and showers. Overnight lows hinge on radiative cooling rates, which strengthen under clear skies but weaken with cloud cover or wind-driven mixing from northerly flows. Ensemble model spreads create the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or wind strength can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 8–9°C provide context, while current seasonal outlooks favor near-average conditions without strong anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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