Recent model consensus from European weather centers points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, advecting warmer southeasterly air into Warsaw and supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s °C on August 28. Partly cloudy skies with 40-70% cloud cover will modulate incoming solar radiation, while moderate southeasterly winds of 10-15 km/h limit extreme surface heating. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing official guidance clustered around 25-27 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25-26 °C, reflecting this narrow envelope of outcomes and the low likelihood of either stronger insolation pushing toward 28 °C or increased cloudiness capping the day below 25 °C. Updated runs from national meteorological services will further narrow the range before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月28日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
28°C 33%
23°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
31%
24°C
13%
25°C
28%
26°C
37%
27°C
40%
28°C
33%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
28°C 33%
23°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$22 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
33%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C or higher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather centers points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, advecting warmer southeasterly air into Warsaw and supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s °C on August 28. Partly cloudy skies with 40-70% cloud cover will modulate incoming solar radiation, while moderate southeasterly winds of 10-15 km/h limit extreme surface heating. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing official guidance clustered around 25-27 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25-26 °C, reflecting this narrow envelope of outcomes and the low likelihood of either stronger insolation pushing toward 28 °C or increased cloudiness capping the day below 25 °C. Updated runs from national meteorological services will further narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$44終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather centers points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, advecting warmer southeasterly air into Warsaw and supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s °C on August 28. Partly cloudy skies with 40-70% cloud cover will modulate incoming solar radiation, while moderate southeasterly winds of 10-15 km/h limit extreme surface heating. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing official guidance clustered around 25-27 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25-26 °C, reflecting this narrow envelope of outcomes and the low likelihood of either stronger insolation pushing toward 28 °C or increased cloudiness capping the day below 25 °C. Updated runs from national meteorological services will further narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$44終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from European weather centers points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, advecting warmer southeasterly air into Warsaw and supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s °C on August 28. Partly cloudy skies with 40-70% cloud cover will modulate incoming solar radiation, while moderate southeasterly winds of 10-15 km/h limit extreme surface heating. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing official guidance clustered around 25-27 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25-26 °C, reflecting this narrow envelope of outcomes and the low likelihood of either stronger insolation pushing toward 28 °C or increased cloudiness capping the day below 25 °C. Updated runs from national meteorological services will further narrow the range before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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