Latest weather model consensus for Milan on August 28 points to a daytime maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions with light morning showers possible, moderating afternoon heating in the Po Valley. Official guidance from sources such as ilMeteo and globalmeteo shows peaks near 29°C amid easterly flow and modest instability, while some runs allow brief clearing that could reach 31°C. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where subtropical ridging supports warmth but convective cloud cover often caps extremes. The resulting tight distribution around 28–30°C explains the market-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance and historical verification of similar setups. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the exact high before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のミラノの最高気温は?
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 21%
31°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
33%
30°C
21%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 21%
31°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
33%
30°C
21%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest weather model consensus for Milan on August 28 points to a daytime maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions with light morning showers possible, moderating afternoon heating in the Po Valley. Official guidance from sources such as ilMeteo and globalmeteo shows peaks near 29°C amid easterly flow and modest instability, while some runs allow brief clearing that could reach 31°C. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where subtropical ridging supports warmth but convective cloud cover often caps extremes. The resulting tight distribution around 28–30°C explains the market-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance and historical verification of similar setups. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the exact high before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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