Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows in Milan on August 28 likely ranging 21–23 °C, keeping the market tightly bunched around 19–21 °C outcomes. Primary drivers include a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 19–21 °C that curbs radiative cooling, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover that can trap or release longwave radiation. Clearer intervals after sunset would favor readings near 19–20 °C, while increased mid-level moisture or thicker clouds would hold minima closer to 21–22 °C. Model spread in timing and extent of any showers or cloud breaks creates the narrow probability distribution, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical August lows averaging near 18 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 27th will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のミラノの最低気温は？
8月28日のミラノの最低気温は？
20°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 32%
19°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
16°C or below
6%
17°C
18%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
36%
21°C
35%
22°C
30%
23°C
30%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 32%
19°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
16°C or below
$114 Vol.
6%
17°C
$136 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
36%
21°C
$10 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
30%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$37 Vol.
9%
25°C
$37 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows in Milan on August 28 likely ranging 21–23 °C, keeping the market tightly bunched around 19–21 °C outcomes. Primary drivers include a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 19–21 °C that curbs radiative cooling, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover that can trap or release longwave radiation. Clearer intervals after sunset would favor readings near 19–20 °C, while increased mid-level moisture or thicker clouds would hold minima closer to 21–22 °C. Model spread in timing and extent of any showers or cloud breaks creates the narrow probability distribution, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical August lows averaging near 18 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 27th will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$371終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows in Milan on August 28 likely ranging 21–23 °C, keeping the market tightly bunched around 19–21 °C outcomes. Primary drivers include a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 19–21 °C that curbs radiative cooling, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover that can trap or release longwave radiation. Clearer intervals after sunset would favor readings near 19–20 °C, while increased mid-level moisture or thicker clouds would hold minima closer to 21–22 °C. Model spread in timing and extent of any showers or cloud breaks creates the narrow probability distribution, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical August lows averaging near 18 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 27th will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$371終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows in Milan on August 28 likely ranging 21–23 °C, keeping the market tightly bunched around 19–21 °C outcomes. Primary drivers include a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 19–21 °C that curbs radiative cooling, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover that can trap or release longwave radiation. Clearer intervals after sunset would favor readings near 19–20 °C, while increased mid-level moisture or thicker clouds would hold minima closer to 21–22 °C. Model spread in timing and extent of any showers or cloud breaks creates the narrow probability distribution, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical August lows averaging near 18 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 27th will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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