**Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models show a consensus for peak daytime highs in Wuhan on August 28 around 36–38°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (37°C at 42.5%, 38°C at 29.5%, 36°C at 24.5%).** Persistent influence from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, typical for late August in the Yangtze River valley, continues to deliver hot, humid conditions with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only localized convective showers possible. This follows an exceptionally warm “sanfu” period (the hottest 40-day stretch ending August 23), ranked the fifth-warmest since 1961, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 36–38°C. Model runs indicate minimal disruption on the 28th before a typhoon-related rain event and northerly flow bring cooler, wetter weather starting around the 30th. The slight edge for 37°C reflects the balance between urban heat-island amplification, high dew points sustaining heat, and the narrow window before steering patterns shift. Traders appear to be weighting the latest CMA and ensemble guidance showing continued warmth rather than earlier seasonal averages. Resolution will hinge on official station observations, with any unforecasted convection or measurement timing adding minor uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の武漢の最高気温は？
8月28日の武漢の最高気温は？
37°C 44%
36°C 27%
38°C 26%
33°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
31°C or below
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
9%
36°C
27%
37°C
44%
38°C
26%
39°C
8%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 44%
36°C 27%
38°C 26%
33°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$11 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$6 Vol.
27%
37°C
$18 Vol.
44%
38°C
$16 Vol.
26%
39°C
$0 Vol.
8%
40°C
$50 Vol.
2%
41°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models show a consensus for peak daytime highs in Wuhan on August 28 around 36–38°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (37°C at 42.5%, 38°C at 29.5%, 36°C at 24.5%).** Persistent influence from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, typical for late August in the Yangtze River valley, continues to deliver hot, humid conditions with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only localized convective showers possible.
This follows an exceptionally warm “sanfu” period (the hottest 40-day stretch ending August 23), ranked the fifth-warmest since 1961, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 36–38°C. Model runs indicate minimal disruption on the 28th before a typhoon-related rain event and northerly flow bring cooler, wetter weather starting around the 30th.
The slight edge for 37°C reflects the balance between urban heat-island amplification, high dew points sustaining heat, and the narrow window before steering patterns shift. Traders appear to be weighting the latest CMA and ensemble guidance showing continued warmth rather than earlier seasonal averages. Resolution will hinge on official station observations, with any unforecasted convection or measurement timing adding minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$123終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models show a consensus for peak daytime highs in Wuhan on August 28 around 36–38°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (37°C at 42.5%, 38°C at 29.5%, 36°C at 24.5%).** Persistent influence from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, typical for late August in the Yangtze River valley, continues to deliver hot, humid conditions with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only localized convective showers possible.
This follows an exceptionally warm “sanfu” period (the hottest 40-day stretch ending August 23), ranked the fifth-warmest since 1961, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 36–38°C. Model runs indicate minimal disruption on the 28th before a typhoon-related rain event and northerly flow bring cooler, wetter weather starting around the 30th.
The slight edge for 37°C reflects the balance between urban heat-island amplification, high dew points sustaining heat, and the narrow window before steering patterns shift. Traders appear to be weighting the latest CMA and ensemble guidance showing continued warmth rather than earlier seasonal averages. Resolution will hinge on official station observations, with any unforecasted convection or measurement timing adding minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$123終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models show a consensus for peak daytime highs in Wuhan on August 28 around 36–38°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (37°C at 42.5%, 38°C at 29.5%, 36°C at 24.5%).** Persistent influence from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, typical for late August in the Yangtze River valley, continues to deliver hot, humid conditions with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only localized convective showers possible. This follows an exceptionally warm “sanfu” period (the hottest 40-day stretch ending August 23), ranked the fifth-warmest since 1961, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 36–38°C. Model runs indicate minimal disruption on the 28th before a typhoon-related rain event and northerly flow bring cooler, wetter weather starting around the 30th. The slight edge for 37°C reflects the balance between urban heat-island amplification, high dew points sustaining heat, and the narrow window before steering patterns shift. Traders appear to be weighting the latest CMA and ensemble guidance showing continued warmth rather than earlier seasonal averages. Resolution will hinge on official station observations, with any unforecasted convection or measurement timing adding minor uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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