Forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models indicate the overnight low in Wuhan on August 28 will likely reach 26–28 °C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. High humidity from the lingering subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to accelerate cooling overnight. Trader positioning around 27 °C as the mode reflects this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の武漢の最低気温は?
26°C 22%
24°C 12%
25°C 7.5%
23°C <1%
$5,336 Vol.
$5,336 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 22%
24°C 12%
25°C 7.5%
23°C <1%
$5,336 Vol.
$5,336 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models indicate the overnight low in Wuhan on August 28 will likely reach 26–28 °C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. High humidity from the lingering subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to accelerate cooling overnight. Trader positioning around 27 °C as the mode reflects this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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