Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Yr.no indicate a low near 26°C for Wuhan on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered to moderate rainfall linked to typhoon peripheral circulation. This setup promotes radiational cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, with expected ranges of 24–28°C reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Yangtze River basin. Model spreads arise from differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 24–28°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the minimum as local observations confirm wind shifts and cloud persistence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の武漢の最低気温は?
28°C 87%
32°C or higher 87%
26°C 47%
25°C 45%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
48%
25°C
45%
26°C
47%
27°C
38%
28°C
87%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
87%
28°C 87%
32°C or higher 87%
26°C 47%
25°C 45%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
48%
25°C
45%
26°C
47%
27°C
38%
28°C
87%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Yr.no indicate a low near 26°C for Wuhan on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered to moderate rainfall linked to typhoon peripheral circulation. This setup promotes radiational cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, with expected ranges of 24–28°C reflecting typical late-summer variability in the Yangtze River basin. Model spreads arise from differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 24–28°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the minimum as local observations confirm wind shifts and cloud persistence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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