Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and modest shower chances that limit solar heating and keep peaks near the long-term average of 22.8°C. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud evolution and potential model underestimation of clearing, while the modest probability for 26°C accounts for historical outliers when subsidence strengthens. With resolution hinging on the official peak reading from Munich’s primary station, updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether surface heating exceeds the current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and modest shower chances that limit solar heating and keep peaks near the long-term average of 22.8°C. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud evolution and potential model underestimation of clearing, while the modest probability for 26°C accounts for historical outliers when subsidence strengthens. With resolution hinging on the official peak reading from Munich’s primary station, updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether surface heating exceeds the current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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