Persistent easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture from the prevailing tropical pattern are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across South Florida, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 78–81°F for Miami’s August 29 low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate overnight temperatures bottoming near 80–82°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average of 77.5°F. This elevated baseline narrows the realistic range, with traders assigning meaningful probability to 76–77°F only if clearer conditions allow greater heat loss. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations through dawn will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78~79°F 34%
80~81°F 31%
82〜83°F 18%
76~77°F 15%
67°F以下
<1%
68~69°F
1%
70〜71°F
1%
72〜73°F
1%
74〜75°F
5%
76~77°F
25%
78~79°F
34%
80~81°F
31%
82〜83°F
14%
84〜85°F
5%
86°F以上
<1%
78~79°F 34%
80~81°F 31%
82〜83°F 18%
76~77°F 15%
67°F以下
<1%
68~69°F
1%
70〜71°F
1%
72〜73°F
1%
74〜75°F
5%
76~77°F
25%
78~79°F
34%
80~81°F
31%
82〜83°F
14%
84〜85°F
5%
86°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent easterly winds and high atmospheric moisture from the prevailing tropical pattern are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across South Florida, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 78–81°F for Miami’s August 29 low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate overnight temperatures bottoming near 80–82°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average of 77.5°F. This elevated baseline narrows the realistic range, with traders assigning meaningful probability to 76–77°F only if clearer conditions allow greater heat loss. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations through dawn will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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