Official Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 28 calls for a high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud following overnight clearing and northerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 23–24°C outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1°C. Cooler-than-normal air advection after Thursday’s showers keeps readings near late-August climatological normals rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against small uncertainties in insolation and local measurement at Pearson Airport, producing tight probabilities between the two most likely daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のトロントの最高気温は?
23°C 47%
24°C 37%
22°C 7%
25°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
47%
24°C
37%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 37%
22°C 7%
25°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
47%
24°C
37%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 28 calls for a high of 24°C under a mix of sun and cloud following overnight clearing and northerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 23–24°C outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1°C. Cooler-than-normal air advection after Thursday’s showers keeps readings near late-August climatological normals rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders appear to weigh the official point forecast against small uncertainties in insolation and local measurement at Pearson Airport, producing tight probabilities between the two most likely daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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