Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
21°C 38%
20℃ 24%
22℃ 22%
19℃ 9%
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
2%
18℃
3%
19℃
9%
20℃
24%
21°C
38%
22℃
22%
23℃以上
3%
21°C 38%
20℃ 24%
22℃ 22%
19℃ 9%
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
2%
18℃
3%
19℃
9%
20℃
24%
21°C
38%
22℃
22%
23℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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