Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
24°C 38%
25℃ 37%
26°C以上 14%
23℃ 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23℃
11%
24°C
38%
25℃
37%
26°C以上
14%
24°C 38%
25℃ 37%
26°C以上 14%
23℃ 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23℃
11%
24°C
38%
25℃
37%
26°C以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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