Recent KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 29 project a daytime maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies, with 20-60 mm of rain expected from an approaching low-pressure system, which has driven the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and surface heating, limiting afternoon temperature rises compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Model consensus shows modest variability around these thresholds due to timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance noting possible brief clearing that could allow brief spikes. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August norms near 29°C, as new model runs and KMA updates ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
$14,084 Vol.
$14,084 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
$14,084 Vol.
$14,084 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 29 project a daytime maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies, with 20-60 mm of rain expected from an approaching low-pressure system, which has driven the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation and surface heating, limiting afternoon temperature rises compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Model consensus shows modest variability around these thresholds due to timing of showers and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance noting possible brief clearing that could allow brief spikes. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August norms near 29°C, as new model runs and KMA updates ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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