Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure after a cooler, rainier period. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–33 °C, with consensus around 32 °C aligning with the market’s leading 33 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Key variables separating these probabilities include exact peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor differences in dew-point advection across ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical late-August highs average near 29 °C, so current drier conditions elevate the near-term potential. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の北京の最高気温は？
8月30日の北京の最高気温は？
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
28%
33°C
35%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
26°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$30 Vol.
10%
31°C
$28 Vol.
12%
32°C
$9 Vol.
28%
33°C
$93 Vol.
35%
34°C
$17 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure after a cooler, rainier period. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–33 °C, with consensus around 32 °C aligning with the market’s leading 33 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Key variables separating these probabilities include exact peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor differences in dew-point advection across ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical late-August highs average near 29 °C, so current drier conditions elevate the near-term potential. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$282終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure after a cooler, rainier period. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–33 °C, with consensus around 32 °C aligning with the market’s leading 33 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Key variables separating these probabilities include exact peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor differences in dew-point advection across ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical late-August highs average near 29 °C, so current drier conditions elevate the near-term potential. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$282終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30, promoting strong daytime heating under high pressure after a cooler, rainier period. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 31–33 °C, with consensus around 32 °C aligning with the market’s leading 33 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Key variables separating these probabilities include exact peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor differences in dew-point advection across ECMWF and GFS runs. Historical late-August highs average near 29 °C, so current drier conditions elevate the near-term potential. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問