Recent forecasts from official sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30 following recent rainfall and cloud cover, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, though slight model differences in wind strength, humidity levels around 60–80%, and exact timing of clearing skies create tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August baselines near 20°C, with the leading probabilities reflecting uncertainty in how much additional cooling clear, dry conditions will deliver overnight before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の北京の最低気温は？
8月30日の北京の最低気温は？
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C or higher 38%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
13°C or below
13%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
25%
17°C
33%
18°C
30%
19°C
47%
20°C
25%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
38%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C or higher 38%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
33%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$224 Vol.
7%
22°C
$5 Vol.
14%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30 following recent rainfall and cloud cover, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, though slight model differences in wind strength, humidity levels around 60–80%, and exact timing of clearing skies create tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August baselines near 20°C, with the leading probabilities reflecting uncertainty in how much additional cooling clear, dry conditions will deliver overnight before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$239終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30 following recent rainfall and cloud cover, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, though slight model differences in wind strength, humidity levels around 60–80%, and exact timing of clearing skies create tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August baselines near 20°C, with the leading probabilities reflecting uncertainty in how much additional cooling clear, dry conditions will deliver overnight before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$239終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from official sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northwest winds on August 30 following recent rainfall and cloud cover, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, though slight model differences in wind strength, humidity levels around 60–80%, and exact timing of clearing skies create tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August baselines near 20°C, with the leading probabilities reflecting uncertainty in how much additional cooling clear, dry conditions will deliver overnight before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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