**Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, under partly sunny skies after morning showers, driven by south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.** These winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit full solar heating, while variable morning cloud cover and any lingering convection introduce uncertainty of 1-3°F in the daytime maximum. The date’s climatological average high of 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly from the prevailing flow pattern. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 84-87°F because small differences in insolation or shower timing can shift the peak across adjacent bins, with traders weighting NWS model consensus and local observations at KORD against these mesoscale variables ahead of final hourly data resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のシカゴの最高気温は?
84~85°F 32%
86~87°F 29%
82〜83°F 17%
88〜89°F 15%
77°F以下
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
3%
82〜83°F
17%
84~85°F
32%
86~87°F
29%
88〜89°F
15%
90〜91°F
5%
92〜93°F
2%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
84~85°F 32%
86~87°F 29%
82〜83°F 17%
88〜89°F 15%
77°F以下
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
3%
82〜83°F
17%
84~85°F
32%
86~87°F
29%
88〜89°F
15%
90〜91°F
5%
92〜93°F
2%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 86°F for Chicago on August 30, 2026, under partly sunny skies after morning showers, driven by south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.** These winds enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit full solar heating, while variable morning cloud cover and any lingering convection introduce uncertainty of 1-3°F in the daytime maximum. The date’s climatological average high of 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly from the prevailing flow pattern. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 84-87°F because small differences in insolation or shower timing can shift the peak across adjacent bins, with traders weighting NWS model consensus and local observations at KORD against these mesoscale variables ahead of final hourly data resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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