Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and European models point to a maximum of 20–22°C in London on August 29 under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions, driven by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, suppress daytime heating and keep readings close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 21°C and 25.5% for 20°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 22°C or higher reflect model agreement on limited insolation and potential for heavier showers. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月29日のロンドンの最高気温は？
21°C 44%
20°C 26%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
26%
21°C
44%
22°C
15%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 26%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
16°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$222 Vol.
1%
18°C
$310 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,282 Vol.
11%
20°C
$1,921 Vol.
26%
21°C
$3,074 Vol.
44%
22°C
$716 Vol.
15%
23°C
$872 Vol.
4%
24°C
$619 Vol.
2%
25°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and European models point to a maximum of 20–22°C in London on August 29 under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions, driven by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, suppress daytime heating and keep readings close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 21°C and 25.5% for 20°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 22°C or higher reflect model agreement on limited insolation and potential for heavier showers. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$9,581終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and European models point to a maximum of 20–22°C in London on August 29 under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions, driven by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, suppress daytime heating and keep readings close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 21°C and 25.5% for 20°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 22°C or higher reflect model agreement on limited insolation and potential for heavier showers. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,581終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and European models point to a maximum of 20–22°C in London on August 29 under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions, driven by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system, suppress daytime heating and keep readings close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 21°C and 25.5% for 20°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 22°C or higher reflect model agreement on limited insolation and potential for heavier showers. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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