Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to an overnight low near 66–70°F for Chicago on August 29, driven by south-southwest flow off Lake Michigan, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders in the mid-60s, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling into the low-to-mid 60s. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, but persistent humidity and warm advection reduce the odds of significant drops below 60°F unless a stronger frontal passage develops. Traders appear to weigh the balance between cloud-trapped warmth and potential clear-sky cooling, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のシカゴの最低気温は？
8月29日のシカゴの最低気温は？
74°F or higher 54%
55°F or below 52%
72-73°F 45%
66-67°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
55°F or below
52%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
45%
74°F or higher
54%
74°F or higher 54%
55°F or below 52%
72-73°F 45%
66-67°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
52%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
14%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
25%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
45%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to an overnight low near 66–70°F for Chicago on August 29, driven by south-southwest flow off Lake Michigan, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders in the mid-60s, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling into the low-to-mid 60s. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, but persistent humidity and warm advection reduce the odds of significant drops below 60°F unless a stronger frontal passage develops. Traders appear to weigh the balance between cloud-trapped warmth and potential clear-sky cooling, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to an overnight low near 66–70°F for Chicago on August 29, driven by south-southwest flow off Lake Michigan, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders in the mid-60s, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling into the low-to-mid 60s. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, but persistent humidity and warm advection reduce the odds of significant drops below 60°F unless a stronger frontal passage develops. Traders appear to weigh the balance between cloud-trapped warmth and potential clear-sky cooling, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to an overnight low near 66–70°F for Chicago on August 29, driven by south-southwest flow off Lake Michigan, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders in the mid-60s, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling into the low-to-mid 60s. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 65°F, but persistent humidity and warm advection reduce the odds of significant drops below 60°F unless a stronger frontal passage develops. Traders appear to weigh the balance between cloud-trapped warmth and potential clear-sky cooling, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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