Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 29 points to an overnight minimum of 17°C under variable cloud and scattered showers, establishing the dominant market outcome. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic maintains temperatures near seasonal norms, limiting radiative cooling despite the unsettled pattern, while model consensus across ensembles shows little deviation from this 16–18°C range. Traders have concentrated probability on 17°C because official observations from stations such as Heathrow are expected to align closely with the forecast minimum, with only modest revisions possible from the final model runs before the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のロンドンの最低気温は?
17°C 61%
18℃ 21%
16°C 20%
15℃ 1.6%
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
61%
18℃
21%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
17°C 61%
18℃ 21%
16°C 20%
15℃ 1.6%
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
61%
18℃
21%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 29 points to an overnight minimum of 17°C under variable cloud and scattered showers, establishing the dominant market outcome. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic maintains temperatures near seasonal norms, limiting radiative cooling despite the unsettled pattern, while model consensus across ensembles shows little deviation from this 16–18°C range. Traders have concentrated probability on 17°C because official observations from stations such as Heathrow are expected to align closely with the forecast minimum, with only modest revisions possible from the final model runs before the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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