Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
3°C 95%
2℃以下 62%
4°C <1%
5℃ <1%
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
2℃以下
62%
3°C
77%
4°C
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7℃
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃以上
<1%
3°C 95%
2℃以下 62%
4°C <1%
5℃ <1%
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
2℃以下
62%
3°C
77%
4°C
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7℃
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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