Persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwesterly winds are keeping Paris daytime temperatures capped near 22–23°C on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Overcast skies limit surface heating from solar radiation while enhanced mixing from 15–25 km/h winds and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation prevent the modest warming needed to reach 24°C or higher. Official guidance from sources like Météo-France and model consensus highlight these conditions as typical for a late-summer Atlantic-influenced pattern, with only narrow uncertainty around afternoon breaks in cloud or wind gust variations that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のパリの最高気温は?
23°C 37%
22°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
$37,534 Vol.
$37,534 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
37%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
5%
23°C 37%
22°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
$37,534 Vol.
$37,534 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
37%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwesterly winds are keeping Paris daytime temperatures capped near 22–23°C on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Overcast skies limit surface heating from solar radiation while enhanced mixing from 15–25 km/h winds and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation prevent the modest warming needed to reach 24°C or higher. Official guidance from sources like Météo-France and model consensus highlight these conditions as typical for a late-summer Atlantic-influenced pattern, with only narrow uncertainty around afternoon breaks in cloud or wind gust variations that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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