Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely between 23–25°C under persistent southwest flow, widespread cloud cover, and light drizzle risk that limits diurnal heating. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 24°C holds the highest implied probability at 41%. Near-normal late-August climatology (historical highs ~24–25°C) combined with upstream Atlantic troughing and modest wind speeds of 15–25 km/h have kept models clustered without signals for stronger subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 26°C or above. Updated runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, sustaining trader focus on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 41%
25°C 24%
23°C 19%
22°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
19%
24°C
41%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
3%
24°C 41%
25°C 24%
23°C 19%
22°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
1%
21°C
$57 Vol.
1%
22°C
$574 Vol.
6%
23°C
$320 Vol.
19%
24°C
$566 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,507 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1,778 Vol.
6%
27°C or higher
$455 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely between 23–25°C under persistent southwest flow, widespread cloud cover, and light drizzle risk that limits diurnal heating. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 24°C holds the highest implied probability at 41%. Near-normal late-August climatology (historical highs ~24–25°C) combined with upstream Atlantic troughing and modest wind speeds of 15–25 km/h have kept models clustered without signals for stronger subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 26°C or above. Updated runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, sustaining trader focus on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$6,946終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely between 23–25°C under persistent southwest flow, widespread cloud cover, and light drizzle risk that limits diurnal heating. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 24°C holds the highest implied probability at 41%. Near-normal late-August climatology (historical highs ~24–25°C) combined with upstream Atlantic troughing and modest wind speeds of 15–25 km/h have kept models clustered without signals for stronger subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 26°C or above. Updated runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, sustaining trader focus on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,946終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely between 23–25°C under persistent southwest flow, widespread cloud cover, and light drizzle risk that limits diurnal heating. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 24°C holds the highest implied probability at 41%. Near-normal late-August climatology (historical highs ~24–25°C) combined with upstream Atlantic troughing and modest wind speeds of 15–25 km/h have kept models clustered without signals for stronger subsidence or clear-sky amplification that could push readings to 26°C or above. Updated runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, sustaining trader focus on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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