Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds around 2–5 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain. This setup limits strong daytime heating while allowing gradual warming from overnight lows near 14–16°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values due to stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Historical climatology for the date centers near 20–23°C, and the narrow spread in current model runs explains why market-implied probabilities for 22°C, 23°C, and 24°C remain closely matched, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月31日のモスクワの最高気温は？
23°C 43%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
20°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
14%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 43%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
20°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
17°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$63 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$42 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$10 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$51 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds around 2–5 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain. This setup limits strong daytime heating while allowing gradual warming from overnight lows near 14–16°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values due to stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Historical climatology for the date centers near 20–23°C, and the narrow spread in current model runs explains why market-implied probabilities for 22°C, 23°C, and 24°C remain closely matched, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$293終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds around 2–5 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain. This setup limits strong daytime heating while allowing gradual warming from overnight lows near 14–16°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values due to stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Historical climatology for the date centers near 20–23°C, and the narrow spread in current model runs explains why market-implied probabilities for 22°C, 23°C, and 24°C remain closely matched, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$293終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds around 2–5 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain. This setup limits strong daytime heating while allowing gradual warming from overnight lows near 14–16°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values due to stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Historical climatology for the date centers near 20–23°C, and the narrow spread in current model runs explains why market-implied probabilities for 22°C, 23°C, and 24°C remain closely matched, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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