Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Recent cooling from August 28 rains has given way to warming under high pressure, with August 29–30 highs reaching 30–32°C and supporting the 30°C plurality at 32% implied probability. Key variables include model differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C, alongside minimal cloud cover and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Historical averages near 29°C and the low chance of extremes further anchor trader sentiment amid forecast uncertainty two days out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の北京の最高気温は？
8月31日の北京の最高気温は？
30°C 32%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
28°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
25°C or below
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
14%
29°C
18%
30°C
32%
31°C
22%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
28°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
25°C or below
$14 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$79 Vol.
18%
30°C
$10 Vol.
32%
31°C
$2 Vol.
22%
32°C
$47 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Recent cooling from August 28 rains has given way to warming under high pressure, with August 29–30 highs reaching 30–32°C and supporting the 30°C plurality at 32% implied probability. Key variables include model differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C, alongside minimal cloud cover and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Historical averages near 29°C and the low chance of extremes further anchor trader sentiment amid forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$152終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Recent cooling from August 28 rains has given way to warming under high pressure, with August 29–30 highs reaching 30–32°C and supporting the 30°C plurality at 32% implied probability. Key variables include model differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C, alongside minimal cloud cover and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Historical averages near 29°C and the low chance of extremes further anchor trader sentiment amid forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$152終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Recent cooling from August 28 rains has given way to warming under high pressure, with August 29–30 highs reaching 30–32°C and supporting the 30°C plurality at 32% implied probability. Key variables include model differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C, alongside minimal cloud cover and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Historical averages near 29°C and the low chance of extremes further anchor trader sentiment amid forecast uncertainty two days out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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